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LUCAS model spatial output data of historical and projected future land change transition probabilities for California

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Metadata Last Checked: September 05, 2025 | Last Modified: 20250710
This dataset provides annual raster maps of land change transition probability (e.g., urbanization, wildland fire, timber harvest) for California, USA. Land change transition probabilities are from Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator (LUCAS) simulations. Each simulation was run at 1-km resolution on an annual timestep for historical (1985-2020) and projected future (2021-2100) time periods. Simulations for the projected future time period were run under all combinations of four climate scenarios, two urbanization scenarios, and two vegetation management scenarios with 40 Monte Carlo realizations per simulation.

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