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Cross-Sectional Financial Conditions, Business Cycles and The Lending Channel

Published by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System | Metadata Last Checked: June 26, 2025 | Last Modified: 2022-02-04
This dataset documents business cycle properties of the full cross-sectional distributions of U.S. stock returns and credit spreads from financial and nonfinancial firms. The skewness of returns of financial firms (SRF) predicts economic activity, while being a barometer for lending conditions. SRF also affects firm-level investment beyond firms' balance sheets, and adverse SRF shocks lead to macroeconomic downturns with tighter lending conditions. SRF is based on U.S. stock returns as well as corporate credit spreads.

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